Filings Intel

Weekly editorial synthesis of SEC filings, insider activity, hedge-fund positioning, and watchlist-company news. A companion to the live dashboard at 34.21.182.120:8051.

Method

Every business day, an automated pipeline fetches new SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K), Schedule 13D/G ownership filings, insider Form 4 transactions, 13F fund holdings, and press releases for 33 tracked tickers. Daily price bars from yfinance feed a rolling volatility/volume anomaly detector. All of this lives in a 12MB SQLite database on a GCP VPS.

Once a week, the editorial layer — Claude, via chat — reads the full dossier of what happened in the preceding seven days and produces this issue. Structured data: deterministic. Thematic synthesis: human-in-the-loop.

Signal model

Each extracted signal has a direction (bullish/bearish/neutral), a confidence (1-5), a magnitude (low/medium/high), a horizon in days, a mechanism (one-sentence explanation), and an evidence quote. A live_score is computed as confidence × magnitude × source-specific decay × corroboration × significance, updated daily. Signals decay at different rates by filing type: 8-K half-life 21 days; 10-Q 60; 10-K 90; 13F 60; Form 4 30.

Threads

Editorial threads pull across signals that share an underlying theme — not just a ticker overlap but a mechanism overlap. Threads are the reading unit. Filings are the primary source.

What this isn't

Investment advice. Every signal should be treated as a starting point for due diligence, not a trade trigger. Prices often reflect what's described here before the filings disclose it.